Mind the gap

Leaders fail in climate fight” says the  headline. Halldor Thorgeirsson, a senior official within the UN’s Framework Convention on Climate Change, says leaders are not doing enough to prevent the buildup of greenhouse gases.

Then by contrast, there is Ross McKittrick in yesterday’s Financial Post saying the models on which all this AGW foofarah have been based have greatly exaggerated the temperature changes that were supposed to have followed the increase in atmospheric CO2.



McKittrick explains the graph:

The figure nearby is from the draft version that underwent expert review last winter. It compares climate model simulations of the global average temperature to observations over the post-1990 interval. During this time atmospheric carbon dioxide rose by 12%, from 355 parts per million (ppm) to 396 ppm. The IPCC graph shows that climate models predicted temperatures should have responded by rising somewhere between about 0.2 and 0.9 degrees C over the same period. But the actual temperature change was only about 0.1 degrees, and was within the margin of error around zero. In other words, models significantly over-predicted the warming effect of CO2 emissions for the past 22 years….

To those of us who have been following the climate debate for decades, the next few years will be electrifying. There is a high probability we will witness the crackup of one of the most influential scientific paradigms of the 20th century, and the implications for policy and global politics could be staggering.

 Yes, the staggering implication is that whole anthropogenic global warming threat is, was and has been a fraud.