Some Thoughts on Experts…

Robert Gascoyne-Cecil, 3rd Marquess of Salisbury (above)

No lesson seems to be so deeply inculcated by the experience of life as that you never should trust experts. If you believe the doctors, nothing is wholesome: if you believe the theologians, nothing is innocent: if you believe the soldiers, nothing is safe. They all require to have their strong wine diluted by a very large admixture of insipid common sense.

….Robert Gascoyne-Cecil, 3rd Marquess of Salisbury

 


Nothing would be more fatal than for the Government of States to get into the hands of experts. Expert knowledge is limited knowledge and the unlimited ignorance of the plain man, who knows where it hurts, is a safer guide than any rigorous direction of a specialist.

….Sir Winston Churchill

 


If it disagrees with experiment, it’s wrong. In that simple statement is the key to science.

….Richard Feynman

 

I agree.

 

….Rebel Yell

Follow the science! That’s an order!

A hodge-podge entry today.

Sabine Hossenfelder is a German nuclear physicist who bears a distinct relationship to a dominatrix. I am strangely attracted to her. I feel the need for domination and discipline. She stars in a stand-up physics blog called Backreation. In this episode, she takes exception to those who think science is a kind of Ten Commandments. She draws a very sharp distinction between faith or belief on the one hand, and what science can ever show. I wish more people abided by this distinction. Normally her language is more polite than in this episode. Science is a matter of fact. It does not tell us what to do. Science does not know the direction in which we should go.

 

Manhattan Contrarian profiles one of the most dreadful fanatics I have ever met, John Holdren, Obama’s science advisor. I was once subjected to his presence in a room of thirty people. I can assure you that he is as close to an exterminationist as you can get, though it is couched in suitably ecological terms of overpopulation. Co-author with the Ehrlichs of anti-human drivel.

 

The point is, in the new Biden/Harris administration, “Science is back”, so shut your trap and fall into line, skeptics. As the Manhattan Contrarian ends his piece:

“Or, to put it another way, “science is back”! De-develop the United States? Forced population control? A “planetary regime” to control all “resources”? The “science” requires it! All the “smart” people from Harvard know that. You can understand why Holdren is excited about a Biden presidency. Are you?”

Conrad Black was right when he said the US population will have a bad case of buyer’s remorse, quickly, in the new regime.

 

 

 

Biden won?

Rebel Yell capably sieves the gems from the slurry. I will not duplicate his work. But with many points of interest in the week ahead, I wanted to advance a thought or two.

There will be excitement. ‘President Trump’s attorney Rudy Giuliani on Sunday insisted that the presidential election would be “overturned,” claiming he had “evidence” that “corrupt machines” had deleted millions of votes for Trump — but couldn’t share it.’ NY Post

The rough and tumble aside, to believe Biden really won, one would have to think he ran a brilliant campaign, outpacing a damaged, unpopular opponent to capture the imaginations of millions. What I saw? Huge energy for Trump and low turnouts for the sad little events to which Biden’s team felt him equal. All right. Maybe he took the popular vote. Maybe. But I think Trump won the election and I think the Democrats are trying to steal it. I think that because vote counting stopped on election night in key jurisdictions when Trump was winning. I think that because so many people have signed affidavits saying they witnessed vote theft. I gather these documents carry severe penalties for prevarication, so they will be taken seriously. Fine. But will the Democrats get away with it? Yes, I think so. They have the media, and huge chunks of the bureaucracy and the justice system. The swamp should have been long drained and built over with Republicans by now but that didn’t happen. So. Trump must be allowed a triumph or two in court before conceding and the Democrats would be well advised to contrive a somewhat gracious departure. That said, anything can happen, hope springs eternal, and President Trump remains one of the greatest shows on earth.

Some Thoughts on the Crook Biden


“It’s not the votes that count, it’s who counts the votes” as Stalin said many years ago.

Trucks arriving at 4 am stuffed with ballots all for Biden; no-one allowed to supervise; Republican officials kept out. In Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin….all states that were trending to Trump well into election night, then suddenly, as if by magic, hundreds of thousand of ballots for Biden appear, all of which were only marked for Biden and no other state or local candidates.

“I smell a big fat commie rat” as General Turgidson might say. Fact is, we have seen the most blatant, in-your-face election fraud ever.

Of course, the presstitutes in the papers and their toadies in the Fake New media were quick to jump on the bandwagon to cheer their boy. They even had the gall to call for “healing” after their four years of lies, hoaxes, smears and sedition against Trump. Such rancid hypocrisy would gag a maggot.

In his excellent blog, Behind the Black, Rob Zimmerman has this to say:


Now we find that the Democratic Party candidate for president, Joe Biden, might have obtained the presidency through what increasingly appears to be outright election fraud. Unlike Trump, who won cleanly and legally, Biden’s possible victory involves numerous documented instances of voter manipulation and illegal votes. Here are just a few examples, which are only a small sampling of the numerous such stories in the past week:
 Wisconsin Election Clerks May Have Illegally Altered Thousands of Ballots [here]
 Software that incorrectly gave Biden thousands of Michigan votes used in 28 other states [here]
 Ballot Count Watcher Describes At Least 130,000 Ballots ALL FOR BIDEN Arriving in Three Vehicles in Detroit in Dead of Night [here]
 Michigan USPS Whistleblower: Late Mail-In-Ballots Are Being Stamped As Received on November 3rd [here]
 ‘Like Flipping a Coin and Getting Heads 100 Times’: Stats Boffs Scrutinize Biden ‘Victory’ Numbers [here]

And then there is the situation in Pennsylvania, where the state court allowed ballots received after election day to be counted, even though the state law expressly forbids it. Moreover, that state court also allowed the election board to accept ballots even if the signature on the ballot did not match the signature on file.
The result in Pennsylvania? Almost 100% of every single late ballot was for Joe Biden, a statistical impossibility.

The odds are high that the Democrats are about to reap what they have sown. It will not be pretty, but then, it is what these conniving, corrupt, and power-hungry thugs have been demanding. We should give it to them.

Read the whole thing.

 

So even if the crook Biden slithers into the White House, and if these fraudulent deeds are proven, then he will be a bastard president, an illegitimate crook whose criminal organization has dealt another blow to the American republic.

Rebel Yell

Let the healing begin

 

Now that  a Democrat has been elected, the healing can begin. Or so it would seem. Peace and reconciliation all around, except for those on the death or exclusion lists. The People have spoken!

One thing I shall remember for future guidance is the extent to which I felt the polls discouraged Trump supporters, like me. The polls were bullshit, as it turned out: active suppressants of voting enthusiasm. And now the pollsters themselves are allowing as how the polls were wildly off. According to the Daily Caller, citing Real Clear Politics:

“The polls were also off in several battleground states that ultimately defined this election. Biden held a lead of 6.7 points over Trump in Wisconsin before Election Day according to Real Clear Politics but he ended up winning the state by a razor-thin margin of 0.7 points.

“Biden also held a lead of 4.2 points over Trump in Michigan before Election Day according to Real Clear Politics but the current results estimate in the state show Biden leading by 2.7 points. Trump defended Florida with a 3.4-point lead even though the last Real Clear Politics polling average gave Biden a 0.9-point lead.

“But in both Wisconsin and across the country, the polls were wrong on Trump once again. “The polls were clearly off again and in a surprising fashion,” Burden said. “Many of us expected the polls to be more accurate this year than they were four years ago.”

“Marquette Poll director Charles Franklin found that national polls overestimated Biden even more than they did Hillary Clinton in 2016, the Wisconsin State Journal reported. Biden’s national lead was overstated by 5.8 points while Clinton’s was overstated by just one point.”

The most ready answer may be the right one, that the pollsters with Democratic leanings, which are most of them, do not form a group of dispassionate social scientists, but rather a group of campaigning Democratic activists. They have no incentives to be right. They have strong incentives to be on the wining side, or more accurately, perhaps,  to favour their party. They gainnothing by being right about a possible Republican victory

It is discouraging to see the extent to which media, Hollywood, big tech, Wall Street, sports, and opinion polling are united to portray the conservative half of the United States as benighted and in need of education, silencing, or shame. Peace and reconiliation indeed.

 

Megan Kelly and Dave Rubin

I find Megan Kelly to be as sharp as any political observer in the United States, and I found her analysis of the end of Trump to be discerning. (We may need to overcome our lust to hear her properly, but listen to her carefully).

  • Republicans have become good at winnng elections and have been poor at fighting the culture wars.
  • Democrats control the media, sports, high-tech, Hollywood, academia and half the country does not feel represented on all the information that comes back to them publicly.
  • This leads to the feeling that everything conservatives think is wrong
  • She doesn’t think conservatives have a future on big media, and it will need a Peter Thiel to establish a new platform.
  • Wokeism was dealt a blow in this election. The media lost this one.
  • The idea of “Defunding the police” killed the Dems in this election.
  • She has no time for people who obsess about politics, about those who may say the wrong thing but who are good people.

 

It is always high drama with Trump

Well well well: the race is tighter than anyone thought possible. We may confidently expect that Democrats will suddenly discover hundreds of thousands of votes that were mailed in but missing until needed, and not counted until today, or tomorrow or next Wednesday. The Democrats stole the election from Richard Nixon to elect John F. Kennedy back in 1960 by finding Chicago graveyards were full of Democratic voters who had been unfairly denied the right to vote. They may do something like this again.

 

It is never undramatic with Trump. In the meantime I suggest you spend a few hours watching the railroad run from Bergen to Oslo. It is very relaxing. The scenery is spectacular. It will calm your frazzled soul.

 

Trump is making things worse – Andrew Sullivan with Sam Harris

This is a full and complete explication of Trump Derangement Syndrome by two highly articulate men who are suffering from it.

According to Harris and Sullivan, Trump is guilty of the following:

 

  • He is worsening the leftism of BLM and the extreme Left, by everything he does and is
  • He worsens the faults of all his opponents
  • He is greedy and malevolent and unaware of this deficits
  • He has denounced white supremacy in insufficiently strong terms
  • He is charcterized by extraordinary and extreme pathological narcissism,
  • Which prevented him from making objective and useful judgments about COVID
  • It is almost supernatural how he manages to skate through situations that would have torpedoed the Presidencies of anyone else
  • It is as if he were an extra-terrestrial put down among us to upset all our ideas and values
  • He is the object of a cult
  • His self confidence and psychological tenacity force those around him to accept his reality
  • It is a warlord mentality, and the capacity to pull this off is a disability on his part
  • He has the virtue of energy, and only mental illness can explain it
  • He has never spent a moment in silence or self-reflection
  • There is no governing process in his mind
  • He would need more virtues to be a more dangerous man
  • He has not sought to persuade; that would have given the persuaded some deference to their independence of mind
  • He wants to be a talk show host sitting in the Oval Office
  • He considers the entire political constitutional system to be a reality entertainment show.
  • Our judgments are objective.

The two of them are frankly in awe of a person whom they hate, or cannot figure out. “I think he has gotten into my head”, said Sullivan. Sullivan likens him to a totalitarian despot whose poster is on the walls everywhere.

Sam Harris:

“There are people who just don’t see this about him… I don’t have a theory of mind for those who don’t feel this way.”

Go to minute 43:00 of the podcast for Sullivan’s understanding why people who don’t like what the Left are doing to the United States would vote for Trump. It is as close as they get to understanding the other side, which is not close at all.

Sullivan and Harris also decry the New York Times, the Steele dossier, CNN, and the obsession with Russia-Trump collusion. It is as if their Trump derangement syndrome is rational, but the lower orders of the media are not entitled to their biases. They are alike with Scott Adams in their denunciation  of the “fine people” hoax that Trump had not sufficiently denounced white supremacy after the Charlottesville riots. They denounce the racialization being practised by the left wing media. They denounce the suppression of news regarding Hunter Biden by major news outlets.

These are two rational people who are caught on the narrow ledge afforded by reasonable views about the Left, and what I consider irrational fear of Trump. I think a lot of people are on that ledge.

And “of course” says Sulivan we should not be examining too closely the revelations from Hunter Biden’s computer about influence peddling with China and Ukraine. They go back and forth between understanding the causes why Trump was voted into power, and not understanding what he is doing to answer the constituencies that elected him.